Austroads: Transport Research and Trends

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Vehicles and Technology: Future State 2030

August 6, 2020

This webinar, presented by Andrew Somers and John Wall on 6 August 2020, outlines the results of Austroads’ forecasts regarding penetration of automated, connected and electric vehicles technologies into new vehicles and vehicle fleets through to 2030. Each forecast focuses on a specific attribute, including:

  • Active safety systems
  • Capability for automated driving on motorways, in urban areas and in rural areas
  • Connectivity via Cooperative ITS (C-ITS) or to the cloud via mobile data networks
  • Battery Electric Vehicles
  • Used for hire with a driver (as taxi, rideshare, etc).

These forecasts show the effects of a likely pattern of technology adoption and the proliferation of that technology through the fleet. As such, many of the forecasts show that only modest proportions of the fleet are equipped by 2030.

While outside of scope, considerations of the impacts of the technologies remain important and one role of this project was to provide forecasts on anticipated penetration to inform continued discussions on and planning for these impacts.